RMS International: Global Threat Assessment — Q4 2025
Major interstate wars and protracted high-intensity conflicts (notably the Russia–Ukraine war and the Israel–Gaza war) will remain the primary drivers of acute humanitarian crises, regional instability, and global political polarization through Q4 2025. Continued kinetic operations, strikes on infrastructure, and large population displacements will sustain refugee flows, food-security shocks, and pressure on regional states and humanitarian organizations.
Following Up: Notable Increase in Vigilantism and Targeted Assassinations
Following two assassination attempts on then–Presidential Candidate Donald Trump and the murder of the UnitedHealth Group CEO, RMS International’s Intelligence Services forecasted continued and potentially escalating incidents of vigilantism and domestic terrorism throughout 2025. Tragically, this projection has proven accurate.
NYC Shooting at 345 Park Avenue: What We Know This Far
The Monday, July 29, active-shooter incident in New York City resulted in the deaths of five people, including the gunman. One victim remains in critical condition and other people were treated for minor injuries sustained while attempting to flee the scene.