February 2026 Look Ahead
February 2026 presents a compressed risk environment driven by a convergence of major holidays, mass-gathering events, religious observances, and planned political demonstrations, particularly in Washington, DC. The highest-risk windows fall around Super Bowl Sunday (Feb 8), Mardi Gras/Lunar New Year (Feb 17), and late-month democracy-related mobilizations (Feb 21 and Feb 27–28). Organizations should anticipate crowd density, alcohol-related disorder, protest/counter-protest dynamics, transportation disruption, and heightened soft-target exposure.
RMS International’s 2026 Threat Forecast
As 2026 unfolds, public and private sector global security teams will operate under mounting stress originating from a hybrid of geopolitical tensions, infrastructure vulnerabilities, and emerging technologies that essentially collapse the boundary and threaten public and private sector verticals between digital and physical domains. The current security environment and potential 2026 technological and physical security disruptors will require senior leadership or board-level engagement, cross-functional coordination, and faster recovery cycles.
Transnational Instability & Nontraditional Threats: The New Frontline of Global Security
In the current geopolitical climate, the most pressing security challenges are no longer confined to battlefields or the agendas of global powers. Instead, increasing global instability stems from a complex mix of climate change, resource scarcity, and mass migration.
Kyiv-ing Peace a Chance: After-Action Report on Recent US, Russia, and Ukraine Summits
On August 15, 2025, the Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska hosted the Trump–Putin summit, marking the Russian leader’s first visit to US soil since 2015.
Tropical Storm: Erin on the Side of Caution
Tropical Storm Erin is currently tracking across the Atlantic, bringing sustained winds near 45 mph and higher gusts, according to the latest National Hurricane Center advisory.
Making Waves: Under the Surface of US-Russian Tensions
In early August 2025, two US nuclear-powered submarines were relocated to strategically significant regions near Russia.
Stars, Stripes, and Security Alerts: Potential Risk for Independence Day 2025
Large-scale gatherings, such as fireworks displays, concerts, and sporting events, have long been considered attractive targets for lone actors or extremist groups. Expect increased patrols, bag checks, and drone surveillance in major metro areas.
RMS International’s Risk Briefing — Q3 2025
Q3 2025 will be marked by geopolitical flashpoints, cyber and infrastructure vulnerabilities, inflation-related stress in emerging markets, and increasingly severe climate-linked events. The convergence of armed conflict, economic fragility, and disruptive technologies makes this quarter especially volatile.
Exfil and Chill: Evacuation Insurance in an Increasingly Chaotic World
The start of the Israeli-led Operation Rising Lion on June 13, 2025, has prompted travel and logistical nightmares not just in Israel, with the closure of Ben Gurion Airport, but regionally across the Middle East. As of mid June 2025, around 40,000 non Israeli tourists—primarily vacationers and business travelers—are considered stranded in Israel due to ongoing regional tensions, closed airspace, and flight cancellations.
Hack to the Future: Inside the World of Cyber Espionage
On Friday, 13 June 2025, Israel announced it targeted Iran’s nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories, and military commanders at the start of “Operation Rising Lion” a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.