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Tag: GlobalRisk

RMS International May 2026 Look Ahead

May 2026 presents a mixed-risk environment, anchored by high-impact civil unrest on May 1 (May Day protests) and nationwide travel + soft-target exposure over Memorial Day weekend, with steady moderate risk from cultural, religious, and large-scale public gatherings throughout the month; overall, the threat landscape reflects heightened societal mobilization combined with predictable seasonal travel vulnerabilities.

May 2026 presents a mixed-risk environment, anchored by high-impact civil unrest on May 1 (May Day protests) and nationwide travel + soft-target exposure over Memorial Day weekend, with steady moderate risk from cultural, religious, and large-scale public gatherings throughout the month; overall, the threat landscape reflects heightened societal mobilization combined with predictable seasonal travel vulnerabilities.

Small Circles, Big Consequences: Us, Them and the Space Between

For the vast majority of human history, Homo sapiens lived in small, tightly knit tribal groups, a structure that continues to shape modern social behavior, even in digital spaces. While this model fostered strong cohesion, shared purpose, and resilience, history demonstrates that when tribal identity hardens into exclusion, it can drive extreme violence, as seen in events like the Rwandan genocide and other modern ethnic conflicts. Today, although society has scaled beyond tribal life, the underlying instincts persist—manifesting in political polarization and identity-driven rhetoric—highlighting the enduring tension between our evolutionary wiring and the demands of modern civilization, and underscoring the need to manage, rather than eliminate, tribal dynamics.

For the vast majority of human history, Homo sapiens lived in small, tightly knit tribal groups, a structure that continues to shape modern social behavior, even in digital spaces. While this model fostered strong cohesion, shared purpose, and resilience, history demonstrates that when tribal identity hardens into exclusion, it can drive extreme violence, as seen in events like the Rwandan genocide and other modern ethnic conflicts. Today, although society has scaled beyond tribal life, the underlying instincts persist—manifesting in political polarization and identity-driven rhetoric—highlighting the enduring tension between our evolutionary wiring and the demands of modern civilization, and underscoring the need to manage, rather than eliminate, tribal dynamics.

Africa’s Two Roads Out of Beijing

China builds influence in Africa through massive infrastructure projects as the US pushes global de-risking—leaving Africa balancing both powers.

China builds influence in Africa through massive infrastructure projects as the US pushes global de-risking—leaving Africa balancing both powers.

Auld Lang Sigh: Confetti, Champagne, and Counterterrorism

An ISIS-inspired New Year’s Eve plot was quietly stopped—another reminder that modern extremism is solitary, digital, and often prevented before midnight. Consider contacting RMS International’s Intelligence Services to protect you or your organization’s people, assets, operations, and reputation. Sustained and proactive vigilance, through threat assessments, social media monitoring, and proactive intelligence efforts remain essential to preventing violence that I increasingly personal, opportunistic, and designed for emotional impact as opposed to strategic gain.

An ISIS-inspired New Year’s Eve plot was quietly stopped—another reminder that modern extremism is solitary, digital, and often prevented before midnight. Consider contacting RMS International’s Intelligence Services to protect you or your organization’s people, assets, operations, and reputation. Sustained and proactive vigilance, through threat assessments, social media monitoring, and proactive intelligence efforts remain essential to preventing violence that I increasingly personal, opportunistic, and designed for emotional impact as opposed to strategic gain.

RMS International: January 2026 Look Ahead

RMS International’s Intelligence Services have identified 20 holidays, religious observances, socio-cultural, and protest events in January 2026. The identified events in January 2026 may prompt pedestrian and traffic congestion, protests and possible riots, business closures and other significant impacts. Consider contacting RMSI’s Intelligence Services for access to analysts and a customized threat assessments on the threats posed by events occurring in January 2026.

RMS International’s Intelligence Services have identified 20 holidays, religious observances, socio-cultural, and protest events in January 2026. The identified events in January 2026 may prompt pedestrian and traffic congestion, protests and possible riots, business closures and other significant impacts. Consider contacting RMSI’s Intelligence Services for access to analysts and a customized threat assessments on the threats posed by events occurring in January 2026.

December 2025 Look Ahead

RMS International’s Intelligence Services have identified 8 holidays, religious observances, socio-cultural, and protest events in December 2025. The identified events in December 2025 may prompt pedestrian and traffic congestion, protests and possible riots, business closures and other significant impacts. Consider contacting RMSI’s Intelligence Services for access to analysts and a customized threat assessments on the threats posed by events occurring in December 2025.

The most critical global security flashpoint this week is the diplomatic-military interface in the Ukraine–Russia war. Negotiations for a “peace framework” are actively underway, with high stakes for European security architecture, alliance cohesion, territorial norms, and downstream cascading risks.

When Global Markets Get the Geopoli-Jitters

Markets have the “geopoli-jitters” as global tensions shake stocks, crypto, and supply chains. In 2026, resilience, not certainty, will ultimately define success. Consider contacting RMSI’s Intelligence Services for access to analysts and a customized threat assessments on the threats posed by the stagnant or down-trending global market events and the potential impact on an organization’s people, assets, operations, and reputation.

Markets have the “geopoli-jitters” as global tensions shake stocks, crypto, and supply chains. In 2026, resilience, not certainty, will ultimately define success. Consider contacting RMSI’s Intelligence Services for access to analysts and a customized threat assessments on the threats posed by the stagnant or down-trending global market events and the potential impact on an organization’s people, assets, operations, and reputation.