Archive
History Defines Our Present
Reflect, Learn, and Prepare
At RMS International, we understand the importance of historical context in shaping the present and preparing for the future. Our Archive subpage is a testament to this philosophy. It serves as an extensive repository of our past analyses and updates on global events, offering a relevant resource for those seeking to understand the evolution of security concerns over time.
What’s Covered
- Geopolitical Changes: Study previous geopolitical scenarios to prepare for future threats.
- Ecological Emergencies: Understand how past natural disasters have shaped global security dynamics.
- Cyber Security Landscapes: Explore the evolution of digital threats and cyber security.
- Public Health Developments: Track the trend of global health crises and their implications.
With RMS International, turn hindsight into foresight.
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Persian Pressure: Tehran’s Options for Payback
Iran rarely declares war. It retaliates in the shadows—proxies, cyber strikes, and deniable attacks that remind the homeland it isn’t beyond reach. Don’t expect Iran’s retaliation to look like war. Expect proxies, hacks, intimidation, and strikes designed to haunt the homeland.
Home Smart Home: The Surveillance State, Now Available in White or Stainless Steel
From doorbells to thermostats, our homes now observe us constantly—an intelligence network we installed ourselves.
Securing the Links: A Guide to Supply Chain Security
Supply chain vulnerabilities—digital or physical—represent a critical enterprise risk capable of cascading into full operational disruption. Effective supply chain security is a continuous intelligence-driven cycle of monitoring, validation, and enforcement. Organizations that adopt a secure-by-design posture are significantly better positioned to prevent disruption, detect threats early, and maintain operational continuity in a volatile global environment.
March 2026 Look Ahead
March 2026 presents a dynamic and event-driven risk environment shaped by the US election cycle, global protest activity tied to Middle East conflict spillover, religious observances, seasonal travel surges, and labor activism. Risk levels fluctuate throughout the month, with several identifiable high-impact dates requiring enhanced monitoring and protective posture adjustments. Additionally, The US Department of Homeland Security has warned of potential lone-actor and cyberattacks amid the ongoing strikes in Iran.
RMS International Threat Forecast: US-Iran Tensions in Q1 2026
RMSI’s Intelligence Services assesses a MODERATE-HIGH likelihood of the US attacking, responding, invading, or temporarily occupying Iran in the first quarter of 2026 with at least two points of verification. This is NOT a forecast of intent, policy endorsement, or inevitability; however, please consider the following primary uncertainty drivers: unpredictable trigger events, miscalculation, or third-party escalation.
Situation Report: Cartel Violence in Mexico (Cutoff: 1200 ET, 24 Feb 2026)
The reported killing of CJNG leader Nemesio Rubén Oseguera Cervantes (“El Mencho”) in a Mexican special forces operation in Jalisco on 22 Feb 2026 triggered a rapid, coordinated retaliation pattern—narco-bloqueos (road blockades with burned vehicles), armed attacks on security forces, and localized clashes—with the epicenter in Jalisco and spillover effects into neighboring states; near-term risk is elevated for highways, security installations, and symbolic targets, with intermittent transport disruption and a credible possibility of follow-on reprisals as CJNG manages succession and signals capability.
Maritime Fault Lines in the Americas and the Quiet Currents of Increasing Conflict
US–Venezuela tensions escalate as the Caribbean becomes a maritime battleground, with the US targeting narco-state vessels and reshaping regional security.
The European Continental Drift
Populism surges across Europe as fringe parties gain power, straining EU unity and reshaping alliances in a continent drifting toward nationalism.
February 2026 Look Ahead
February 2026 presents a compressed risk environment driven by a convergence of major holidays, mass-gathering events, religious observances, and planned political demonstrations, particularly in Washington, DC. The highest-risk windows fall around Super Bowl Sunday (Feb 8), Mardi Gras/Lunar New Year (Feb 17), and late-month democracy-related mobilizations (Feb 21 and Feb 27–28). Organizations should anticipate crowd density, alcohol-related disorder, protest/counter-protest dynamics, transportation disruption, and heightened soft-target exposure.