Advisory Report: 6/11/2022
Major Events
|
EVENT |
LOCATION |
DATE |
|
Bakhmut Shelling Continues |
Bakhmut, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Belarus Military Extends Air Space Closure |
Belarus |
6/11/2022 |
|
Ukrainian Forces Counterattack in Brazhkivka |
Brazhkivka, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Continued Shelling in Dergachi |
Dergachi, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Russian Forces Continue Shelling Dnipropetrovsk |
Dnipropetrovsk, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Russian Forces Shelled Dobryanka |
Dobryanka, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Continued Shelling in Kharkiv |
Kharkiv, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Russian Forces Build Checkpoints in Kherson |
Kherson, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Ukraine Forces Counterattack in Kherson Vicinity |
Kherson Vicinity, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Intensified Shelling in Lysychansk |
Lysychansk, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Clashes Continue in Popasna |
Popasna, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Clashes Continue in Severodonetsk |
Severodonetsk, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Continued Clashes in Toshkivka |
Toshkivka, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
|
Shelling Reported in Velkopysarivka |
Velkopysarivka, Ukraine |
6/11/2022 |
PAST 24 HOURS:
▪ Next week, the European Commission will determine whether Ukraine can become a candidate for EU membership, EC President Ursula von der Leyen said during her second visit to Kyiv since the start of the war. (Source: Telegram)
▪ Russian forces are now in control of most of Severodonetsk, the epicenter of the bloody battle for Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region. Street fighting continued to rage on Saturday in the eastern city, where Russian soldiers and Ukrainian troops are still locked in battle. (Source: CNN)
▪ Part of Donetsk Oblast without electricity due to Russian shelling. Donetsk Oblast Governor Pavlo Kyrylenko said the northern part of Donetsk Oblast, including some of its largest cities, has been left without power after Russian shelling damaged power lines. (Source: Telegram)
▪ Three Russian occupiers killed in mine explosion in Mariupol. Aide to Mariupol mayor Petro Andriushchenko said a Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations vehicle exploded after driving over a mine in Mariupol. Two ministry employees and one Russian soldier were killed. (Source: Telegram)
BORDER REGULATIONS:
▪ As of today, the customs E-declaration for humanitarian goods has started working. You can use the service at the link – https://customs.help.gov.ua/ukr/import-notification/
o How it works for foreign citizens and citizens of Ukraine who do not use electronic services electronic signature, BankID, MobileID :
o From any country in the world, you can fill out a pre-customs E-declaration for humanitarian goods.
All questionnaires are immediately included in the database of the State Customs Service of Ukraine and duplicated to the declarant by e-mail.
o After receiving the declaration, please print it out and sign it.
o Pass the printed and signed declaration to the customs representative while crossing the Ukrainian border.
(Source: Telegram)
▪ Border Information – Belarus:
o Belarus-Ukraine: Borders remain closed.
▪ Border Information – Hungary:
o Hungary-Ukraine: Borders are open. The rules for crossing borders in Hungary have not changed since the beginning of the crisis. Waiting times according to the April 4th OSAC report state wait times for vehicles at the Border Crossing Points are less than 15 minutes.
o The U.S. Embassy in Hungary encourages U.S. citizens traveling into Hungary by land from Ukraine to cross at the Záhony border crossing. The U.S. embassy will have staff stationed near this crossing to aid. Please contact ACS.Budapest@state.gov or call +36-1-475-4400 (ask for American Citizens Services). U.S. citizens do not need a visa to enter Hungary but should be prepared to show proof of COVID vaccination or a negative COVID-19 test. See here for additional information about availability of ATMs, gas stations, etc., as well as FAQs about travel from Zahony border to Kisvarda.
▪ The process for obtaining Temporary Protected Status and what protections and support it entails remain murky. Third-country nationals can only remain in temporary protected
status for 30 days without the possibility of extension or asylum application. Many third
country nationals are coming up against their 30-day mark this week and are unable to
renew TPS or leave Hungary.
▪ Official wait times for vehicles at the border crossing points from Ukraine into Hungary on the Hungarian side of the border as of 1300 local were all normal. Low crossing numbers from Ukraine continue, with increasing numbers at the Romanian border crossing in the
past 72 hours.
o The Prime Minister’s Office announced that beginning March 21st the government would open a large refugee waiting area near Keleti train station in Budapest.
▪ Border Information – Moldova:
o Moldova-Ukraine: Borders are open, except for the Kuchurgan-Pervomaisk crossing point, which is closed. The Moldova government officially reported that all border crossings were open with no traffic as of March 23rd.
▪ The Moldova government officially reported that all border crossings were open with no traffic as of March 24th.
▪ On March 24th, the busiest border crossing points were Leușeni, Sculeni, Palanca, Otaci and Giurgiulești-Galați.
o The government of Moldova has established transportation systems to move refugees to third party countries. Buses run from the Moldovan border to the Chisinau rail station for free onward travel to Poland and Romania. Starting March 10, direct bus lines are running from Moldova to Czech Republic, Germany, and Poland, many of which are free of charge.
▪ Border Information – Poland:
o Poland-Ukraine: On March 28th, U.S. Embassies Kyiv and Warsaw released a security alert announcing that after more than six weeks assisting U.S. citizens arriving in Poland from Ukraine, the U.S. Embassy in Warsaw is closing its American Citizen Welcome Center, located at the SPA Gloria Hotel in Przemysl, Poland, on Wednesday, March 30.
o All border crossing-points are open. Vehicles with goods of Russian origin may have their cargo confiscated by Ukrainian customs authorities. Official border wait times are being reported less frequently to the U.S. Embassy:
▪ Dorohusk-Jagodzin: Less than 1 hour
▪ Zosin-Uscilug: Less than 1 hour
▪ Dolhobyczow: Less than 1 hour
▪ Hrebenne: Less than 1 hour
▪ Budomierz-Hruszow: Less than 1 hour
▪ Korczowa-Krakowiec: Less than 1 hour
▪ Medyka: Less than 1 hour
▪ Kroscienko: Less than 1 hour
o Organizations planning to transport humanitarian aid are requested to provide the following information:
▪ Number of vehicles in the convoy,
▪ Vehicle registration numbers,
▪ Indication of the country of registration of vehicles, and
▪ If possible, the approximate period of travel on Polish territory (in both directions).
o To obtain an exemption for individual vehicles or a convoy with humanitarian aid, all the above mentioned information should be sent to the Ministry of Infrastructure by e-mail to:
humanitarianaid@mi.gov.pl. In addition, if the route of a vehicle or convoy with humanitarian aid runs through one of the toll motorway sections managed by private companies, it is possible to exempt these vehicles from the obligation to pay the toll if they contact the relevant
concessionaire in advance and provide information also to the above-mentioned address.
o Outbound checks are reported to occur anywhere between 10 to 50km before reaching the border and guards are enforcing the country’s current law that requires Ukrainian males between the ages of 18 and 60 to join the Ukrainian Territorial Defense Forces. Due to the number of vehicles trying to cross into Poland, wait times at the border crossings can vary from no wait to as much as 24 hours.
▪ Border Information – Romania:
o Romania-Ukraine: Borders are open. The Romanian Border Police are providing daily information updates on the situation at Romanian borders with Ukraine. All border crossings with Ukraine now have official wait times under 30 minutes, except for Isaccea, which is estimated at 30 minutes.
▪ (https://www.politiadefrontiera.ro/en/main/n-communication-news-and-events-1/) ▪ Wait times at border crossings with Moldova remain low, with no crossing reporting a wait time more than 20 minutes.
▪ Traffic into Hungary continues to flow smoothly at all crossing points. Wait times to exit Romania along the border with Hungary average around 10-20 minutes, according to the government website.
o From 15 March to 13 April 2022, temporary derogation of the provisions on driving times, breaks and rest periods applies in Romania for transport of goods conducted with vehicles with a maximum permitted weight of more than 3.5 tons.
▪ Temporary derogation from Regulation (EC) No 561/2006 applies as follow:
▪ The daily driving time may not exceed 11 hours
▪ The maximum weekly driving time may be increased to 60 hours
▪ The maximum driving time per two consecutive weeks may be increased to 96 hours
▪ The maximum driving time before a break may be increased to 5.5 hours
▪ The normal weekly rest period of at least 45 hours may be taken in the vehicle
o Drivers who take advantage of this derogation must enter handwritten cases on the back of the analog tachograph record sheet or digital tachograph printout.
▪ Border Information – Russia:
o Russia-Ukraine: Borders remain closed.
▪ Border Information – Slovakia:
o Slovakia-Ukraine: Borders are open. The police force ensures normal operation at the border crossings with Ukraine. All border crossings on the border with Ukraine are in operation – except for the railway border crossing Čierna nad Tisou – Čop, where passenger traffic has been stopped.
▪ For the moment, entry is possible for persons who do not have a valid travel document (biometric passport) as well. In such a case, it is necessary to apply for temporary refuge or asylum. If you are traveling with children, it is recommended that you have at least your
child’s birth certificate with you.
▪ Persons without a valid passport are recommended to carry other documents (e.g., ID card, driver’s license, residence permit in Ukraine, birth certificates of children, etc.).
▪ If an unaccompanied child crosses the border, the competent authority shall, in
cooperation with the police, coordinate the placement of the child in the selected facility.
DANGER AREAS:
Source: UK Ministry of Defense 6/09/2022
▪ Russian forces are engaged in four primary efforts at this time:
o Main effort—Eastern Ukraine (comprised of one subordinate and three supporting efforts). ▪ Subordinate main effort- Encirclement of Ukrainian troops in the cauldron between Izyum and Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts
▪ Supporting effort 1—Mariupol
▪ Supporting effort 2—Kharkiv City
▪ Supporting effort 3—Southern axis
▪ Activities in Russian-occupied areas
▪ Russian forces build fortified checkpoints in Kherson Oblast. Ukraine’s Armed Forces report on that Russian forces are focusing on strengthening their positions by improving fortification equipment of the 2nd and 3rd lines of defense in the southern regions of Ukraine. A number of fortified checkpoints made of reinforced concrete have been located near the bridges across a 400-kilometer-long North Crimean Canal, linking occupied Crimea with the Dnipro River. (Source: Telegram)
▪ In the Slavic direction, the enemy carried out systematic artillery shelling. Ukrainian soldiers successfully repulsed an enemy assault in the areas of Brazhkivka, Dolyna and Vernopil. The occupiers withdrew. With the support of mortars, artillery, and multiple rocket launchers, the enemy is trying to gain a foothold in Bogorodichnoye, and fighting continues. The enemy is actively using electronic warfare. (Source: Telegram)
▪ In the Lyman direction, the enemy units did not take active action. In the direction of the city of Lysychansk, the enemy increased the intensity of the use of artillery and jet artillery and took measures to strengthen the group of troops. He fired artillery at civilian infrastructure near Serebryanka and Belogorovka. (Source: Telegram)
Source: Institute for the Study of War 6/11/2022
▪ Russian forces launched ground assaults on Severodonetsk and several surrounding settlements on June 11th. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces are resisting Russian assaults on Severodonetsk and repelled a Russian attack on Metolkine, just southeast of Severodonetsk. (Source: ISW)
▪ In Belarus , the terms of checking the combat readiness of the Belarusian army and closing the airspace have been extended . There is also a threat of missile and air strikes from the territory of this country, according to the General Staff. (Source: Telegram)
▪ Russian forces continued to launch offensive operations against Toshkivka, likely in an effort to secure the western Siverskyi Donets riverbank. (Source: ISW)
▪ Russian forces conducted offensive operations east and west of Popasna likely to interdict Ukrainian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) to Lysychansk and Severodonetsk. Russian forces withdrew to their previously occupied position after launching failed attacks against Mykolaivka and Berestove, both located in the vicinity of the Bakhmut-Lysychansk T1302 highway. (Source: ISW)
Source: Institute for the Study of War 6/11/2022
▪ Luhansk Oblast Head Serhiy Haidai stated that Russian forces entered Orihove (approximately 4 km east of T1303) and are strengthening positions at the northern outskirts of the settlement. Geolocated footage showed that Russian and Chechen units also took control over a train station in Komyshuvakha (approximately 7 km west of T1303) and will likely attempt to link up with units advancing from Orihove. (Source: ISW)
▪ Russian forced resumed attacks southwest of Izyum and towards Slovyansk on June 11th. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces launched a series of unsuccessful assaults on Brazhkivka and Virnopillia to reach Barvinkove, approximately 35km southwest of Izyum. (Source: ISW)
▪ Geolocated footage showed that Russian forces entered the northern outskirts of Bohorodychne (approximately 25 km southeast of Izyum) on June 11th. (Source: ISW)
▪ According to social media reports, in the Bakhmut direction, the enemy conducted artillery shelling of our positions near Mykolayivka, Bilohorivka, Hirsky, Komyshuvakha, and Novoluhansky. Using army aircraft, he launched an air strike near Pokrovsky. (Source: Telegram)
▪ Russian troops fired on two communities in the Dnipropetrovsk region. They were beaten by artillery and “Hurricanes”: two people were injured. (Source: Telegram)
Source: Institute for the Study of War 6/11/2022
▪ In the afternoon, Russian troops dropped two explosives on the Velykopysarivka community in the Sumy region. Immediately after that, the enemy fired artillery. Fortunately, there are no injuries or casualties. (Source: Telegram)
▪ According to the Institute for the Study of War, there were no significant developments in northern Kharkiv Oblast on June 11th. Russian forces fired on Kharkiv City and Ukrainian positions northeast of the city. Ukrainian forces continued to target Russian ammunition depots in occupied settlements south of Kharkiv City. (Source: ISW)
▪ The Kherson City Council reported that Ukrainian forces are conducting counteroffensives in Kyselivka, Soldatske, and Oleksandrivka, all within 40 km of Kherson City. (Source: ISW)
▪ On June 10th, the Russian military fired cluster munitions at Dergachi. Two people were injured in the shelling. On June 11th, shelling continued, shells fell on the outskirts of the city, there were no casualties, according to Derhachiv community leader Vyacheslav Zadorenko. (Source: Telegram)
▪ In the South Buz direction, the enemy fired at Ukrainian positions in the areas of Dobryanka, Velyka Kostromka, Murakhivka, and Prybuzky in order to deter our troops. The enemy also tried to fight the battery. (Source: Telegram)
UKRAINE NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS:
Source: World Nuclear News
▪ The site of Zaporizhzhya NPP, Ukraine and Europe’s largest NPP, remains under the control of the Russian forces there. I have repeatedly expressed my grave concern at the extremely stressful and challenging working conditions under which Ukrainian management and staff are operating the plant. The current
situation is untenable. Every day it continues; every day that vital maintenance work is delayed; every day that supply chain interruptions cause a break in the delivery of vital equipment; every day the decision making ability of Ukrainian staff is compromised; every day the independent work and assessments of Ukraine’s regulator are undermined; the risk of an accident or a security breach increases. (Source: IAEA)
▪ Under extraordinary circumstances, the IAEA in close collaboration with Ukraine, has made notable progress in identifying and beginning to address what needs to be done to uphold the highest possible level of safety and security at Ukraine’s nuclear facilities, while continuing to implement safeguards under Ukraine’s Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement and the Additional Protocol. (Source: IAEA)
▪ Regarding the country’s operational reactors, Ukraine told the IAEA today that eight are currently connected to the grid, including two at the ZNPP, three at the Rivne NPP, two at the South Ukraine NPP, and one at the Khmelnytskyy NPP. The seven other reactors are shut down for regular maintenance or held in reserve. Safety systems remain operational at the four NPPs, and they also continue to have off-site power available, Ukraine said. (Source: IAEA)
▪ With respect to safeguards, the IAEA is continuing technical attempts, with the assistance of the operator, to re-establish the transmission of remote safeguards data to IAEA headquarters from the ZNPP that stopped on 30 May. The IAEA continues to receive safeguards data from its systems installed at the other three operational NPPs in Ukraine and from the Chornobyl NPP. (Source: IAEA)
▪ In Ukraine 15 pressurized water reactors of Russian VVER design are operated by the State Enterprise National Nuclear Energy Generating Company “Energoatom” at four plants. These plants operate under nuclear safety regulations implemented by the State Nuclear Regulatory Inspectorate of Ukraine (SNRIU). (Source: Nuclear Energy Agency)
o Khmelnitsky nuclear power plant has two existing reactors and two reactors under construction. ▪ Khmelnitsky NPP was inspected by the International Atomic Energy Agency on 11 March under the agreement between Ukraine and the IAEA in connection with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. The inspection was conducted by inspectors of the Agency with the participation of an SNRIU inspector. The purpose of the inspection was to verify the absence of undeclared nuclear material and information on the design of the
nuclear installation provided to Ukraine in accordance with the Agreement.
▪ One reactor was in operation on 13 April.
o Rivne nuclear power plant has four reactors. On 13 April two of these reactors were in operation. o South Ukraine nuclear power plant has three reactors, two of which were in operation on 4 April. o Zaporizhzia nuclear power plant has six reactors. Information received from the State Nuclear Regulatory Inspectorate of Ukraine is that:
▪ Unit 1 is in outage.
▪ Unit 2 remained connected to the grid on 13 April.
▪ Unit 3 were disconnected from the grid on 4 March and was in cold shutdown mode on 6 March.
▪ Unit 4 remained connected to the grid on 13 April.
▪ Unit 5 is being cooled down.
▪ Unit 6 was in cold shutdown mode on 6 March.
▪ According to available information, the Zaporizhzia nuclear power plant was shelled on the night of 4 March, but the resulting fire has since been extinguished and had no impact on essential equipment. The plant management is now under orders from the commander of the Russian forces that took control of the site.
▪ Subsequent reports have highlighted that two of the four high voltage (750 kV) offsite power lines to the site have been damaged. Another high voltage line is on standby. The
operator informed the IAEA that the plant’s off-site power needs could be provided with
one power line and that diesel generators were also ready and functional to provide back up power if required. The NEA is closely monitoring the situation.
FUEL SHORTAGES:
▪ Anticipating a winter season defined by severe energy crisis, Ukraine will halt all exports of coal, natural gas and oil, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in an address to the nation on Wednesday. (Source: Oil Price)
▪ Gas cylinders at industrial plant in Dnipro explode, killing 2 people. Dnipro Mayor Borys Filatov said on June 3rd that the explosions were not due to a missile or airstrike and that the resultant fire is being extinguished. (Source: Telegram) 6/03/2022
