RMS International: Global Threat Assessment — Q4 2025

Major interstate wars and protracted high-intensity conflicts (notably the Russia–Ukraine war and the Israel–Gaza war) will remain the primary drivers of acute humanitarian crises, regional instability, and global political polarization through Q4 2025. Continued kinetic operations, strikes on infrastructure, and large population displacements will sustain refugee flows, food-security shocks, and pressure on regional states and humanitarian organizations.
Kyiv-ing Peace a Chance: After-Action Report on Recent US, Russia, and Ukraine Summits

On August 15, 2025, the Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska hosted the Trump–Putin summit, marking the Russian leader’s first visit to US soil since 2015.
Making Waves: Under the Surface of US-Russian Tensions

In early August 2025, two US nuclear-powered submarines were relocated to strategically significant regions near Russia.
Less is More: How USAID Budget Cuts Could Impact the Geopolitical Landscape

As of 10 March, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced the Trump administration officially canceled 83% of US foreign aid contracts.
RMS International’s Global Risk Forecast 2025

This year, 2025, will be full of impactful disruptors, or an individual, company, or form of technology that uses radical change in an existing industry, market, supply chains, or political landscape by means of innovation.