Situation Report: Cartel Violence in Mexico (Cutoff: 1200 ET, 24 Feb 2026)
The reported killing of CJNG leader Nemesio Rubén Oseguera Cervantes (“El Mencho”) in a Mexican special forces operation in Jalisco on 22 Feb 2026 triggered a rapid, coordinated retaliation pattern—narco-bloqueos (road blockades with burned vehicles), armed attacks on security forces, and localized clashes—with the epicenter in Jalisco and spillover effects into neighboring states; near-term risk is elevated for highways, security installations, and symbolic targets, with intermittent transport disruption and a credible possibility of follow-on reprisals as CJNG manages succession and signals capability.
Maritime Fault Lines in the Americas and the Quiet Currents of Increasing Conflict
US–Venezuela tensions escalate as the Caribbean becomes a maritime battleground, with the US targeting narco-state vessels and reshaping regional security.
Africa’s Two Roads Out of Beijing
China builds influence in Africa through massive infrastructure projects as the US pushes global de-risking—leaving Africa balancing both powers.
RMS International: Global Threat Assessment — Q4 2025
Major interstate wars and protracted high-intensity conflicts (notably the Russia–Ukraine war and the Israel–Gaza war) will remain the primary drivers of acute humanitarian crises, regional instability, and global political polarization through Q4 2025. Continued kinetic operations, strikes on infrastructure, and large population displacements will sustain refugee flows, food-security shocks, and pressure on regional states and humanitarian organizations.
Kyiv-ing Peace a Chance: After-Action Report on Recent US, Russia, and Ukraine Summits
On August 15, 2025, the Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska hosted the Trump–Putin summit, marking the Russian leader’s first visit to US soil since 2015.
Making Waves: Under the Surface of US-Russian Tensions
In early August 2025, two US nuclear-powered submarines were relocated to strategically significant regions near Russia.
Less is More: How USAID Budget Cuts Could Impact the Geopolitical Landscape
As of 10 March, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced the Trump administration officially canceled 83% of US foreign aid contracts.
RMS International’s Global Risk Forecast 2025
This year, 2025, will be full of impactful disruptors, or an individual, company, or form of technology that uses radical change in an existing industry, market, supply chains, or political landscape by means of innovation.