Global Risk Forecast: Q2 2026 — The Season of Friction

Q2 2026 will be characterized not by a single defining crisis, but by the convergence of multiple, interdependent pressures across geopolitical, cyber, and environmental domains.
Maritime Fault Lines in the Americas and the Quiet Currents of Increasing Conflict

US–Venezuela tensions escalate as the Caribbean becomes a maritime battleground, with the US targeting narco-state vessels and reshaping regional security.