RMS International: Global Threat Assessment — Q4 2025
Major interstate wars and protracted high-intensity conflicts (notably the Russia–Ukraine war and the Israel–Gaza war) will remain the primary drivers of acute humanitarian crises, regional instability, and global political polarization through Q4 2025. Continued kinetic operations, strikes on infrastructure, and large population displacements will sustain refugee flows, food-security shocks, and pressure on regional states and humanitarian organizations.
Following Up: Notable Increase in Vigilantism and Targeted Assassinations
Following two assassination attempts on then–Presidential Candidate Donald Trump and the murder of the UnitedHealth Group CEO, RMS International’s Intelligence Services forecasted continued and potentially escalating incidents of vigilantism and domestic terrorism throughout 2025. Tragically, this projection has proven accurate.
Stars, Stripes, and Security Alerts: Potential Risk for Independence Day 2025
Large-scale gatherings, such as fireworks displays, concerts, and sporting events, have long been considered attractive targets for lone actors or extremist groups. Expect increased patrols, bag checks, and drone surveillance in major metro areas.
Israel Strikes Iranian Nuclear Facilities: What We Know So Far
On Friday, 13 June 2025, Israel announced it targeted Iran’s nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories, and military commanders at the start of “Operation Rising Lion” a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.
Nationwide “No Kings” Protests Planned Across the United States
Demonstrations are planned in major cities across the United States on June 14, 2025.
Terror attack in Boulder, Colorado, burns 8 people at march for Israeli hostages, suspect in custody
On Sunday, 01 June 2025, Mohamed Sabry Soliman, 45, allegedly threw an improvised incendiary device at a group that had assembled at Boulder, Colorado’s Pearl Street Mall.
RMS International’s Global Risk Forecast 2025
This year, 2025, will be full of impactful disruptors, or an individual, company, or form of technology that uses radical change in an existing industry, market, supply chains, or political landscape by means of innovation.