RMS International: Global Threat Assessment — Q4 2025

Major interstate wars and protracted high-intensity conflicts (notably the Russia–Ukraine war and the Israel–Gaza war) will remain the primary drivers of acute humanitarian crises, regional instability, and global political polarization through Q4 2025. Continued kinetic operations, strikes on infrastructure, and large population displacements will sustain refugee flows, food-security shocks, and pressure on regional states and humanitarian organizations.
Kyiv-ing Peace a Chance: After-Action Report on Recent US, Russia, and Ukraine Summits

On August 15, 2025, the Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska hosted the Trump–Putin summit, marking the Russian leader’s first visit to US soil since 2015.
Making Waves: Under the Surface of US-Russian Tensions

In early August 2025, two US nuclear-powered submarines were relocated to strategically significant regions near Russia.
Friendly Fire: When Attacking Yourself is the Best Defense

Nefarious actors are using machine learning to create deepfake voices, synthetic audio creations that have the same vocal, intonation, and pacing structure as an individual you may know very well.
Sounds Like Trouble: The Deepfake Voice Dilemma

Nefarious actors are using machine learning to create deepfake voices, synthetic audio creations that have the same vocal, intonation, and pacing structure as an individual you may know very well.
Gone Phishing: How Hackers Hooked Millions

Large-scale gatherings, such as fireworks displays, concerts, and sporting events, have long been considered attractive targets for lone actors or extremist groups. Expect increased patrols, bag checks, and drone surveillance in major metro areas.
RMS International’s Risk Briefing — Q3 2025

Q3 2025 will be marked by geopolitical flashpoints, cyber and infrastructure vulnerabilities, inflation-related stress in emerging markets, and increasingly severe climate-linked events. The convergence of armed conflict, economic fragility, and disruptive technologies makes this quarter especially volatile.
Less is More: How USAID Budget Cuts Could Impact the Geopolitical Landscape

As of 10 March, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced the Trump administration officially canceled 83% of US foreign aid contracts.