February 2026 Look Ahead

February 2026 presents a compressed risk environment driven by a convergence of major holidays, mass-gathering events, religious observances, and planned political demonstrations, particularly in Washington, DC. The highest-risk windows fall around Super Bowl Sunday (Feb 8), Mardi Gras/Lunar New Year (Feb 17), and late-month democracy-related mobilizations (Feb 21 and Feb 27–28). Organizations should anticipate crowd density, alcohol-related disorder, protest/counter-protest dynamics, transportation disruption, and heightened soft-target exposure.

February 2026 presents a compressed risk environment driven by a convergence of major holidays, mass-gathering events, religious observances, and planned political demonstrations, particularly in Washington, DC. The highest-risk windows fall around Super Bowl Sunday (Feb 8), Mardi Gras/Lunar New Year (Feb 17), and late-month democracy-related mobilizations (Feb 21 and Feb 27–28). Organizations should anticipate crowd density, alcohol-related disorder, protest/counter-protest dynamics, transportation disruption, and heightened soft-target exposure.

RMS International’s 2026 Threat Forecast

As 2026 approaches, public and private sector global security teams will operate under mounting stress originating from a hybrid of geopolitical tensions, infrastructure vulnerabilities, and emerging technologies that essentially collapse the boundary and threaten public and private sector verticals between digital and physical domains. The current security environment and potential 2026 technological and physical security disruptors will require senior leadership or board-level engagement, cross-functional coordination, and faster recovery cycles.

As 2026 unfolds, public and private sector global security teams will operate under mounting stress originating from a hybrid of geopolitical tensions, infrastructure vulnerabilities, and emerging technologies that essentially collapse the boundary and threaten public and private sector verticals between digital and physical domains. The current security environment and potential 2026 technological and physical security disruptors will require senior leadership or board-level engagement, cross-functional coordination, and faster recovery cycles.