The European Continental Drift
Populism surges across Europe as fringe parties gain power, straining EU unity and reshaping alliances in a continent drifting toward nationalism.
February 2026 Look Ahead
February 2026 presents a compressed risk environment driven by a convergence of major holidays, mass-gathering events, religious observances, and planned political demonstrations, particularly in Washington, DC. The highest-risk windows fall around Super Bowl Sunday (Feb 8), Mardi Gras/Lunar New Year (Feb 17), and late-month democracy-related mobilizations (Feb 21 and Feb 27–28). Organizations should anticipate crowd density, alcohol-related disorder, protest/counter-protest dynamics, transportation disruption, and heightened soft-target exposure.
Africa’s Two Roads Out of Beijing
China builds influence in Africa through massive infrastructure projects as the US pushes global de-risking—leaving Africa balancing both powers.
The Unsettled States of America
US political violence rises as vigilantism, extremism, and public fear grow—eroding trust and turning ordinary places into flashpoints in 2026.
North American Infrastructure: The New Front Line
US infrastructure faces growing hybrid threats—cyber and physical attacks eroding resilience, trust, and stability as America races to adapt.
RMS International’s 2026 Threat Forecast
As 2026 unfolds, public and private sector global security teams will operate under mounting stress originating from a hybrid of geopolitical tensions, infrastructure vulnerabilities, and emerging technologies that essentially collapse the boundary and threaten public and private sector verticals between digital and physical domains. The current security environment and potential 2026 technological and physical security disruptors will require senior leadership or board-level engagement, cross-functional coordination, and faster recovery cycles.